• TransplantedSconie@lemm.ee
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    4 months ago

    #VOTE!

    Wear diapers if you have to (I’m serious. I guarantee the wait times in republican run areas is going to be atrocious long), stay in line (if you are in line they have to let you vote by law), and #VOTE!

      • SuperIce@lemmy.world
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        4 months ago

        CA just does universal mail in ballots. I can read about the issues and candidates at home while filling out the ballot and then walk a block to a letter drop box to submit my ballot. Then I can just track its status online. It’s great.

        • CapeWearingAeroplane@sopuli.xyz
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          3 months ago

          Honest question: With this kind of system, how do you verify who filled in the ballot? In my country we have “mail in” voting, which consists of going to a polling station in some other district than the one your from, filling in a ballot in the normal way, and then they send it for you.

          Also: I’ve seen people talking about how you have to vote in person on election day, don’t the polling stations open before that? I usually vote a couple days before election day, the polling stations open like two weeks before…

          • BigMacHole@lemm.ee
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            3 months ago

            Exactly! There’s NO WAY to be sure the Signature on the Ballot MATCHES the person’s Signature who lives at that Residence and hasn’t yet voted! It’s IMPOSSIBLE! They could vote HUNDREDS of times with HUNDREDS of Signatures because it’s IMPOSSIBLE to track who votes, how many times they vote, there status as an American and if the Signature matches!

      • Todd Bonzalez@lemm.ee
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        4 months ago

        No, you vote by mail because you live somewhere that allows it.

        If you live somewhere red, you probably need to show up in person on election day, and wait around for hours hoping that you don’t get disenfranchised.

        • CaptDust@sh.itjust.works
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          3 months ago

          EDIT 2: This map is NOT ENTIRELY ACCURATE. Spot checking NY and PA - these states have restrictions on Absentee ballots BUT also offer less restrictive Early Mail In voting which IS NOT represented. Check your latest state laws here: https://www.nass.org/can-i-vote/absentee-early-voting

          In seven sixteen states, voters still need a reason to vote absentee. That means many voters in these states will need to vote in person at a polling place.

          Edit- replaced with newer map from '22, excuse required states doubled since '20.

  • Jo Miran@lemmy.ml
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    4 months ago

    This makes for a good headline but it should not stop you from voting. It was indeed a nice turnout for Harris at The Villages, but that place is not only a cesspool, it is a fucking ginormous cesspool. That group is tint compared to the overall population of that shit hole.

    SOURCE: I split my time between Wyoming and Florida amd my Florida home is unfortunately just a few exits of I-4 away from that fascist lemon party.

    • vividspecter@lemm.ee
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      4 months ago

      This makes for a good headline but it should not stop you from voting.

      Nothing should stop you voting. Even if Harris is predicted to have a 30 point margin, you should push for a 40 point margin. Because even if she wins, the fewer Republicans in office, the more policies the Democrats can implement.

  • Linkerbaan@lemmy.world
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    3 months ago

    Impossible I’ve been told Joe Biden was the most popular candidate ever and Dems would 100% lose without him.

    Next you’re going to tell me that not supporting Genocide would earn her even more votes.

    • El Barto@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      I must admit that I got scared when Biden noped out of the re-election.

      I’m just glad that Kamala seems to be bringing the unification the dems need.

      Get her the nomination already! And people, people, people, don’t do a Hillary and become complacent. Get out and VOTE!

      • knightly the Sneptaur@pawb.social
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        3 months ago

        Anybody that feared Biden dropping out needs to re-evaluate the way they look at politics. This has been a long time coming, and has been an inevitability since 2015 when Democrat party leadership decided they could pull a fast one during the primary. Before we even knew Biden would be that incumbent, the shape of this election had already been decided.

        Now that Biden has dropped out, the Democrats have a chance. A lot of future history depends on how well Harris can turn the support for “Literally anyone else” to her advantage.

        Edit: I seem to be getting a lot of downvotes for my objectively correct assessments of politics. Seems to me like y’all are either mad that I was right, or Republicans who are mad that Biden dropped out.

        • El Barto@lemmy.world
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          3 months ago

          Anybody that feared Biden dropping out needs to re-evaluate the way they look at politics.

          In what way?

          • knightly the Sneptaur@pawb.social
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            3 months ago

            I’d been getting shit on for years for trying to tell people Biden would have to drop out to give the Democrats a chance this election. Lo and behold, once he finally does, Democrats are suddenly on track to win.

            Everyone who didn’t understand that this was going to be the case had their heads buried too deep in the sand to hear any of the legitimate, well intentioned criticism of their preferred candidate or the arguments for why switching would be a good thing. Such folks who accused me of being a Republican or a Russian bot when I was actually right cannot be trusted to perform political analysis.

            • El Barto@lemmy.world
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              3 months ago

              You still haven’t said in what way people who feared Biden dropping out need to re-evaluate the way they look at politics.

              • knightly the Sneptaur@pawb.social
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                3 months ago

                They were afraid of a thing that would significantly improve their electoral chances because they were too wrapped up in their support for a presumed nominee to put their biases aside and consider the benefits of switching to another candidate.

                • El Barto@lemmy.world
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                  3 months ago

                  Your sentence comes down to: “Their biases made them afraid of considering better options.”

                  Specifically what biases are you talking about?

      • Linkerbaan@lemmy.world
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        3 months ago

        Not a single person voting Democrat does so because they thought Biden was a great candidate.

        It appears nobody has learned anything from Hillary’s loss in 2016.

        Establishment ghouls are not popular Democrats. Conservatives will vote Republican anways, appeasing to the right is worthless.

        Only progressives get independents to vote blue.

    • smeenz@lemmy.nz
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      3 months ago

      I’m not sure that anyone claimed Biden was the most popular demograt candidate ever, it’s more that he was the safe choice, and dems have always played it safe…at least until this week where they’ve finally taken a chance on something.

      • NutWrench@lemmy.ml
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        3 months ago

        Same here. When your choice is between boring, middle of the road corporatists and 100% concentrated evil, it shouldn’t be a tough choice to make.

        That doesn’t mean I’m a fan of Democrats, though. In fact, I farking HATE having to vote Democrat. I’ve hated it for the last 20 years. But I hate the Judge Dredd universe the Republicans want even more. Check out Project 2025. They’re not even trying to be subtle about what they want, anymore.

  • disguy_ovahea@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago

    With his presidential grifts and self-pardons on the line, Trump’s gotta be sweating more than JD Vance in a Ramour and Flanagan.

        • assassin_aragorn@lemmy.world
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          3 months ago

          Recognize that the data may be flawed. Polling is incredibly accurate, but only if you survey a simple random sample. And that is very difficult to do. It introduces a lot of difficulty in getting right answers. Some polling methodologies will try to manipulate the raw data and weight it to try and make it representative, but that introduces a whole host of problems.

          2016 and 2020 under predicted Trump’s popularity for instance, while 2022 under predicted Democrats’ popularity. We don’t know what the situation now.

          Polls are still useful, but you have to treat them with a grain of salt. What tends to be more accurate is changes within the same polling group over time.

            • assassin_aragorn@lemmy.world
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              3 months ago

              You need to look at the actual statistical science. If you find 45% support for something, but there’s a 3% margin of error with a 95% conference interval, then there’s a 95% chance that the true value is anywhere from 42-48%. And that’s with a perfect, simple random sample.

              It has its uses, but you have to be aware of its limitations and caveats.

                • assassin_aragorn@lemmy.world
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                  3 months ago

                  Are you just arguing for the sake of arguing? I’m saying that even a perfect sample will not necessarily lead to an accurate conclusion, and having a perfect sample is incredibly difficult on top of that.

                  Now factor in a major event occurring, and people’s opinions and thoughts being in flux. To properly gauge mood, you need to give people time to process – hence why immediate polling is not helpful.

                  You do realize that the person you originally responded to was saying that polls probably aren’t helpful right now, not that polls are universally useless?

    • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      A social media account called Kamala’s Wins flagged the development.

      “The villages in Florida, typically dominated by MAGA extremists, have been completely taken over by Vice President Kamala Harris’ campaign,” the account wrote Saturday. “This is a remarkable turnaround.”

      Democratic influencer Jon Cooper said, Wow! I live only an hour’s drive from The Villages in Florida."

      “Trust me when I say it’s a SUPER-RED community that’s usually a real hotbed of Trump support,” he added this weekend. “The fact that there are over 200 golf carts at this rally for [Harris] today is INCREDIBLE!”

      Come on, dude. That’s a awful source for information.