• explodicle@sh.itjust.works
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    2 days ago

    There will be fewer people renting, by necessity, but the people who want or need to rent will not change by as much, creating an imbalance between supply and demand that will drive up rental prices.

    Why would demand not change by as much as supply, if both a buyer and a seller have been removed from the rental market? It’s like landlords being forced to sell to tenants at a reduced price.

    • LaLuzDelSol@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      Because having your rental unit taken away from you does not remove you from the rental market. You might consider leaving the rental market and buying property if housing prices collapse, but outside of that most people are going to have to look around for a new rental unit in a now tighter market.

      • explodicle@sh.itjust.works
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        2 days ago

        It does remove another renter, though. The market would only be tighter if they reduced supply by more than demand.

            • LaLuzDelSol@lemmy.world
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              2 days ago

              That’s a big assumption that the new homeowner was a previous renter and not just someone cohabiting or buying an additional home.

              • explodicle@sh.itjust.works
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                2 days ago

                Not when we’re looking at large groups of people - there’s no reason to think the average number of occupants per home would change.

                • LaLuzDelSol@lemmy.world
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                  1 day ago

                  I didnt mention anything about the average number of occupants per home. What i did say was that, if 100 homes go from being rented to being sold, not all 100 homes will go to previous renters, for the reasons I mentioned above. Doesn’t that make sense?

                  • explodicle@sh.itjust.works
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                    1 day ago

                    If the average number of occupants isn’t changing, then cohabitation and second houses are irrelevant to this discussion.

                    To whom is the apartment being sold?

                    • If it’s another landlord, then supply and demand haven’t changed.
                    • If it’s anyone’s former tenant, then both supply and demand are reduced by 1 on average, so rentals don’t get more expensive.

                    Perhaps you can find some statistics to back up your general point? If you’re right, then we should see the opposite correlation - higher homeownership with higher rents.