Yeah, it’s kind of hard to come up with a cutoff. There’s lots of really old vague theories that had the right idea. Eventually you get to the point where you’re thinking that there was probably a caveman somewhere who built a fire in a cave and wondered what would happen if the whole world filled with smoke.
From a science perspective, Svante seems to have mostly had it, but applying the science really started to coalesce in the 1950s. The American Petroleum Institute actually funded a study in 1959 to figure out if they were really going to destroy the planet. Their findings were a bit more extreme than what actually worked out, they thought New York would be underwater around 1990, but it pretty well established things.
Yeah, it’s kind of hard to come up with a cutoff. There’s lots of really old vague theories that had the right idea. Eventually you get to the point where you’re thinking that there was probably a caveman somewhere who built a fire in a cave and wondered what would happen if the whole world filled with smoke.
From a science perspective, Svante seems to have mostly had it, but applying the science really started to coalesce in the 1950s. The American Petroleum Institute actually funded a study in 1959 to figure out if they were really going to destroy the planet. Their findings were a bit more extreme than what actually worked out, they thought New York would be underwater around 1990, but it pretty well established things.