• 2 Posts
  • 269 Comments
Joined 11 months ago
cake
Cake day: October 20th, 2023

help-circle
  • What is “human speech”? Again, so many people (around the world) have picked up idioms and speaking cadences based on the media they consume. A great example is that two of my best friends are from the UK but have been in the US long enough that their families make fun of them. Yet their kid actually pronounces it “al-you-min-ee-uhm” even though they both say “al-ooh-min-um”. Why? Because he watches a cartoon where they pronounce it the British way.

    And I already referenced socal-ification which is heavily based on screenwriters and actors who live in LA. Again, do we not speak “human speech” because it was artificially influenced?

    Like, yeah, LLMs are “tainted” with the word “delve” (which I am pretty sure comes from youtube scripts anyway but…). So are people. There is a lot of value in researching the WHY a given word or idiom becomes so popular but, at the end of the day… people be saying “delve” a lot.


  • Having read the article:

    I agree that the approach is no longer viable but I strongly disagree with the rationale. It boils down to three key aspects:

    1. Wordfreq works by scraping the “open web”. As a result, it is being inundated with massive amounts of gpt spam articles. This is problematic in that it is not “natural language” between people but… those articles never were. If you think anyone talks like the average SEO recipe blog then… more on that later.
    2. Sites are increasingly locking down access to scraping their text. This… I actually think is really good. I strongly dislike that that locking down means “so that only people who pay us can train off of you” but I have always disliked the idea that people just train models off of social media with no consent whatsoever
    3. Funding for NLP research is basically dead. No arguments there and I have similar rants from different perspectives. But… that is when you learn how to call what you do AI to get back your old funding.

    But I think the bigger part, that I strongly disagree with, is the idea that this is not the language of a post-2021 society. With points like

    Including this slop in the data skews the word frequencies.”

    But… look up “so-cal-ification” and how many people have some “valley girl” idioms and cadence to their normal speech because that is what we grew up on. Like, I say “like” a lot to chain thoughts together and am under no illusions that came from TV. Same with how you can generally spot someone who grew up reading SFF based on how they use some semi-obscure words and are almost guaranteed to mispronounce them.

    Because it is the same logic as “literally there is no word that means literally anymore”. Yeah, it is true. Yeah, it is annoying. But language evolves and it doesn’t always evolve in ways that make sense.

    Or, just look at how many people immediately started using the phrase “enshittification” every chance they got. Or who learned about the Ship of Theseus and apply it every chance they get.

    Like (there it is again!), a great example is cell phones. Reality TV popularized the idea of putting your phone on speaker, holding it in the palm of your hand, and talking into it. That is fucking obnoxious and has made the world a worse place. But part of that was necessity (in reality tv it is so that the audience gets both perspectives. In reality life it is because of shit like the iphone having a generation or two that would drop calls if you held it like a god damned phone) and then it is just that feedback loop. Cell phone companies design their phones to look good on TV when held that way and people who watch TV start doing that because all the cool people do it. And so forth.

    AI has already begun to change language and it will continue to do so in the future. That is just reality and it is no different than radio and especially television leading to many regional dialects being outright wiped out.


  • See this going around and… that is a LOT of reaching from a random CSR trying to placate an angry user.

    “We are currently working with Rockstar games to find a fix” followed by “You can buy the game you already have for cheap” just means that Valve sent an email saying “Bro, what the fuck?”. And Rockstar will likely send a response of “Do you want GTA 6 or not?” and this will never come up again.

    I would like to be proven wrong (GTA:O is trash but some people like it) but … not optimistic. And we get these kind of “A random CSR said something to make me stop asking to speak to their manager!” level of “leaks” a few times a year. The vast majority go nowhere.


  • It can be hit or miss with some particularly stupid government workers, but Passport Cards are very much a thing and qualify as Real ID Compliant.

    As a passport it is only valid for like Canada and Mexico but it is well worth the extra 20 or 30 bucks when you get a passport. On travel it is a nice ID that you don’t REALLY care if it gets stolen (since your Driver’s License is back at the hotel). Also incredibly useful when you need multiple forms of ID for something.

    But also would not be a horrible choice as a non-driver ID. Just a hassle to get one without a Driver’s License because 'murica.



  • I mean… that IS how you get a passport. Just replace “police station” with “post office”.

    The issue is that the US is comparable in size to the EU. Even excluding the flyover states, people can spend an entire lifetime just going on domestic trips for holidays and the like.

    So the vast majority of Americans see no need for a passport until they have booked their dream trip and realize that France is a different country. Hence the mad rush and expedited processing and so forth.


    I personally make life more inconvenient for myself because I refuse to deal with booking time for photos at a post office or pay a pharmacy to do it for me so I end up spending ten minutes in gimp formatting things every N years. But that is very much a stupid me thing.


  • I mean… none of that actually helps a third party at the presidential level. Or even addresses spoilers. Going to address your points out of order to make my own

    If not, the candidates with the fewest first choice is eliminated, and those that voted for them, they move on to their second choice picks.

    So… the third party candidates get eliminated in the first round. Because they cannot compete with the two big parties in terms of campaign funding. Assuming it doesn’t end in the first round because…

    If a candidate gets the majority vote in the first choices they win outright.

    So the republican wins because there is one right wing fascist running against a dozen flavors of Left wing. Or the Democrat wins because all the third parties were a negligible percentage of the vote to begin with.

    I HAVE seen proposals that change the ordering so that a third party “can’t” be a spoiler (I forget the specifics but basically it is removing the small percentage votes first and only comparing once you downselect to N candidates where N is usually 2) but…

    People confuse the idea of making a third party candidate viable with minimizing how much you are pissing away your vote by voting for a third party in the presidential election. Ranked choice is great for the latter but it still has many of the same spoiler problems without additional changes. And, arguably, would increase the impact of third party spoilers if one party over-splits. I continue to point people toward the mess in France where basically all the Left wing parties had to unite and make a coalition to MAYBE stop the right wing fascists.

    Personally? I would much rather we abolish the electoral college and just do a popular vote. That will have a MUCH bigger impact on third party candidates because it suddenly becomes viable to run a national campaign where you convince maybe 15% of the overall populace rather than needing 40% of each county just to end up on the politico map. Because the latter is what really screws over third parties at the presidential level because they just don’t have the money or resources to sway enough counties to get any meaningful electoral college votes. And ranked choice alone has no impact on that.


  • It depends how you look at it.

    Ranked Choice is not going to make a third party viable at the presidential level. Simply because the other two parties have orders of magnitude more funding to campaign and make sure people know and “like” their candidates. And, depending on the implementation of ranked choice, it may still result in splitting the vote.

    At the congressional representative level? Ranked choice has a lot of benefits there. But that is also the level where third party candidates are still viable under the current model.

    The reality is that most of the things people want out of ranked choice we already have out of the primary system. Wide range of candidates run in the primary on each side. Primaries exist to figure out who The People like and to let the party down select. Done right, you have what would otherwise have been “third party” candidates who suddenly have a LOT of influence within the party (see: Bernie Sanders in 2020… less so in 2016) because they get a lot of influence on the platform in exchange for supporting the candidate who has the majority of the vote and the party backing.

    The key is that people need to understand they are still compromising to get some of what they want AND to engage with their local (and even national) parties to make sure their voices are heard.


  • project 2025 likely ends with trump and the magats. Because it is almost entirely based upon the idea of a POTUS who actively has no idea how government works and doesn’t want to do anything other than get headlines.

    Because under a romney or a cheney? They don’t need project 2025 because steps will already be taken. Just like they have been since reagan with the bushes gradually eroding away democracy.

    And… the reality is that it is inevitable that republicans will gain power again. Because The Left will pretty rapidly be at each other’s throats once trump is gone (just note all the Bernie Or Bust crew who still can’t shut the fuck up about the most important event in the past 8 years…). And people will lose interest in voting because they didn’t get exactly what they want.

    The hope is that Kamala actually acts and works to restore those checks and balances so that four years of a republican is four years of a mess for Democrats to clean up and not the first four years of Gilead.



  • I saw unsubstantiated reports claiming there was 10-20 grams of high explosive (eg C4). Which looks pretty “right” based on the footage I looked at before remembering this would be faces of death. An energetic “explosion” coming out the side of the pager that, combined with the metal from the batteries or the interior plates of the pager, would generate a good amount of shrapnel. So high odds of death if you were looking at your pager to read the message and almost guaranteed injury and cuts otherwise. And, if you were gripping your pager on the wrong side, likely loss of fingers (like a fire cracker in the hand).

    Its one reason that a big part of securing your supply chains is to actually inspect what you purchase. (Allegedly) Israel with a few hours in a warehouse overnight could swap out a LOT of pager backplates in ways that are more or less indetectable at a glance or even picking it up (20 grams is nothing). But if you were to weigh those and realize they are 20 grams heavier than all the other pagers you bought (since packaged goods are fairly consistent), that should raise a lot of red flags.

    But I am not aware of even government orgs (let alone terrorist orgs) who are willing to put the effort in to do that.







  • Its unclear how many “moderate republicans” will vote for her. In large part because it is unclear how many “moderate republicans” there actually are and it is worth remembering that folk like liz cheney and romney largely voted in lockstep with trump and the magats outside of MAYBE one or two issues that personally impact them. And it isn’t like any of the “former Republican leaders” have particularly strong support bases considering they lost to the magats years ago.

    The reality is that this is just part of the republican party trying to prepare for a post-trump election. trump supported candidates consistently lost downballot and the primaries for this election were a shitshow. maga/tea party republicans die with trump so they are making sure they can go back to reagan/bush style “We are the party of decorum and church rights. You need to meet us in the middle and let us kill just a few trans folk per day”



  • That is 95% false and is the nonsense that has mostly been pedaled by the musks of the world to justify privatized space flight.

    Like everything with the US military industrial complex, we split everything up to nonsensical degrees. So much of the research and designs NASA uses are based on work and spec by the Army and Air Force. Which, in turn, leads to very specific proposals for companies like Boeing (eep) and the like.

    But the actual design and research and even “small scale” testing? That is generally NASA and JPL. JPL in particular being a government research lab (similar model used by the Navy and the DOE) that coordinates with in house talent as well as university groups around the country.

    But as spacex and the like basically poached so much of the top talent out of NASA and JPL and universities? It stopped being “Build this rocket to these specs” and more “Hmm. That rocket you are trying to sell us looks REAL familiar but we have been told by congress we can’t design it ourselves so here is your money. Say hi to Fred for us.”